The Rockies won 58 games this year. That's a .358 winning percentage, and by a comfortable margin the worst record in baseball. Their reward is the same thing the Athletics get for finishing six games better: a 19.1% chance at the first pick.

In a year when the collective bargaining agreement runs out and nobody is sure the lottery will even look the same next winter, the 2027 draw may be the purest test yet of whether the system works.

Under the current rules, the three worst non-playoff teams all get equal odds. This year that's Colorado (.358), the Angels (.383) and the A's (.395). Each started at 16.5%, and each rose to 19.1% after two teams further down the list were ruled ineligible. I'll get to them in a minute.

Colorado was comfortably had the worst record in the sport this year, and it gains nothing for it. The …